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The last forecast, the start of the championship was great, but towards the end we started to make mistakes and we might end up not earning, but it's important that we don't lose, and betting is like American mountains, it's either an ascent or a descent, but it's possible to maintain a positive balance, so let's move on to the forecast, which, like the previous one, will be quite narrow because we will try to profit from yellow cards over.
In the final, the referee was Italian N. Rizzoli, who showed an average of 3 yellow cards per game in this championship (Spain 1-5 Netherlands 4 yellow cards, Nigeria 2-3 Argentina 2 yellow cards, Argentina 1-0 Belgium 3 yellow cards), which is a quite high indicator considering that only the quarterfinals were crucial games for him. In this World Cup, referees showed very few yellow cards and the average per game is 2.8 (in the 2010 World Cup it was 3.8). The games are very important and the competition will be tough, as shown by the mutual matches between Argentina and Germany, which are not characterized by discipline: in the 2006 World Cup quarterfinals, it was 1-1 and Germany won on penalties, with 7 yellow cards. In the 2010 World Cup quarterfinals, Germany won 4-0 with 3 yellow cards. In the 2010 friendlies, Argentina won 1-0 with 6 yellow cards. In the 2012 friendlies, Argentina won 3-1 with 1 yellow card and 1 red card. So in the last 4 matches, there were a total of 18 yellow cards and one red card, with only 2 being World Cup quarterfinals and the remaining 2 being friendlies.
This year, Rizzoli showed an average of 4 yellow cards per game, and in important matches, the average was almost 5 yellow cards:
Juventus 3-0 Roma, 2 red cards and 5 yellow cards
Genoa 1-0 Inter, 6 yellow cards
Arsenal 0-2 Bayern, 1 red card and 4 yellow cards
Juventus 1-0 Torino, 4 yellow cards
Catania 1-1 Cagliari, 1 red card and 6 yellow cards
Inter 0-0 Napoli, 4 yellow cards
Let's move on to the last five World Cup statistics:
1994 ref. Puhl 4 yellow cards, Brazil 0-0 Italy (Brazil won on penalties)
1998 ref. Belqola 1 red card and 5 yellow cards, France 3-0 Brazil
2002 ref. Colina 2 yellow cards, Brazil 2-0 Germany
2006 ref. Elizondo 1 red card 3 yellow cards, Italy 1-1 France (Italy won on penalties)
2010 ref. Webb 9 yellow cards, Spain 1-0 Netherlands (Spain won in OT)
The statistics of finals, referees, and teams favor such an over, so we are trying to place the last 6 winning units and double them. Argentina has Messi, while Germany has a team, so the verdict would be:
Argentina 1-2 Germany.
Good luck and enjoy the beautiful final!
2014.07.13 22h
More than 3.5 yellow cards
Oracle @2.42
Reliability 6/10
WC2014 statistics:
Predictions: 8
Won: 4
Lost: 3
Canceled: 1
Plus/minus: +6.27
Final WC2014 statistics after the final:
Predictions: 9
Won: 5
Lost: 3
Canceled: 1
Plus/minus: +14.79
Good luck and see you during the basketball championship!
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