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Journalist Martynas Pocius continues to share his European Championship predictions (you can read yesterday's diary here)
For the third consecutive positive day brought a profit of 28.40 Lt. For the first time in this championship, two combined bets proved successful. I was completely right in guessing that all four teams in Group A would score goals. I also did not make a mistake thinking that the Russian national team would have less than 8 shots on goal, and the Czech Republic will have more corner kicks in the match against Greece.
Unfortunately, I made an optimistic guess that both matches yesterday would end in a draw, although not by much. Another combined bet was ruined by the Czechs who made too many mistakes, and I expected a more disciplined game from them than from the Greek national team. Only two quick goals from them are to blame.
After a tough start to betting, the mood is improving, so I hope to continue the successful streak of days, but today's program includes perhaps the most difficult to predict games of the "deadly" group: Portugal - Denmark and Germany - Netherlands. Therefore, the bets are more optimistic, as anything can happen here, as we have already seen.
Balance: 987.70 Lt
Portugal - Denmark Denmark total goals conceded < 16.0, and Germany - Netherlands Netherlands ball possession (%) more than 48.5 (total odds 3.52). Bet - 20 Lt.
Portugal has nowhere to retreat. After a failure against Germany, they must win today. The strength of the Portuguese national team, playing on the wings, utilizing the speed of C. Ronaldo and Nani, is no secret to anyone. The Germans collected 14 goals against the Portuguese. Therefore, if the Danish national team coach draws conclusions and instructs his two defensive midfielders to be more disciplined in holding their lines, from which N. Zimling regularly withdrew in the first match, the main weapon of the Portuguese will be limited to a minimum, and by concentrating on defense and not allowing one-on-one situations, the probability of conceding goals decreases.
The situation for the Netherlands is similar to Portugal: having suffered a second failure, they could already start packing their bags without haste, and by playing a draw, they have not yet lost my hope to keep my pre-tournament prediction of an orange victory alive. Winning without controlling the ball is possible, but it is not the nature of the Dutch national team's game. Of course, the Germans also like to play with possession, but today they do not need to go all out, a draw will be enough.
Germany - Netherlands Germany total yellow cards more than 1.5, and Portugal - Denmark Portugal will not concede a goal (total odds 3.63). Bet - 20 Lt.
Against Portugal, the Germans received 2 yellow cards. The Dutch have very good players not only on the wings but also, unlike Portugal, in the middle of the field, so the defensive lines of Germany will have plenty of work, and by disrupting opponents too often, the cards will appear.
The almost error-free defense of the Portuguese national team in the first matches did not go well, and everyone already knows what Denmark is capable of. If the Danes score today, it will be enough to take off their hats before them and wish them luck in the next stage because it is hard to believe that, having defeated the opponent's goalkeeper at least once, they would lose.
Germany - Netherlands exact score 1:1 (odds 7.00). Bet - 10 Lt.
Yesterday, a colleague who is not a football fan boasted that he is participating in a championship pool and predicts the same result for all matches - 1:1. It must be acknowledged that he is doing quite well there, as in all groups except B, at least once such a match result has already occurred. You need to learn from the experience of others and it's time for the "deadly" group to join the draws. Let the goals flow!
