"Tonybet" gambler's diary. Journalist M. Pocius (Day 13) © EuroFootball.com

However, the truth is. I can boldly state this after the last stage of group matches. After a failure, when due to some technical difficulties it was not possible to place a bet on events that came true, new difficulties (I suspect the internet connection) doubled the bet that W. Rooney would score a goal. The goal was scored, so the profit doubled accordingly. The bet that I predicted higher ball possession for France and Ukraine also came true. All this added more than half a thousand litas to my account.

Since there are 7 matches left in the championship, and the balance does not complain of a large deficit, I increase the daily betting amount. This information is for those who commented on small daily betting amounts. Remembering a couple of setbacks in the group stage, the decision to allocate only a certain part of available resources for each day, I think, was justified. There is no need to waste the entire budget in a few days, right?

The "sink or swim" battles begin, with the first taste being tested by Portugal and Czech Republic.

Balance: 819.25 Lt

Portugal total conceded goals over > 15.5 (odds 1.85). Bet - 30 Lt

The numbers suggest to me that Portuguese footballers have not avoided breaking the rules so far and in three matches they did it on average more than 17 times. However, their ball possession in all matches was not higher than 44%. Since I predict that the Czechs will control the ball more today, I can also expect that the Portuguese players will not be able to outplay the referee.

Czech ball control (%) over > 47.0 (odds 1.85). Bet - 35 Lt.

I will not repeat what I already wrote about the first bet about the Portuguese. I will just add that only in one match the Czech Republic had worse ball control than their opponent - against Greece. However, that time the Czechs scored two quick goals and simply retreated into defense, conceding both playing and territorial advantage to the opponents. I hope that such a scenario of quick Czech goals will not be repeated today, and the Portuguese will not decide to abandon their tactics that have been demonstrated so far.

Portugal - Czech Republic first team to win (odds 1.73). Bet - 35 Lt

Sympathy prevails. Although there are quite a few football fans who do not like this "divers and girls" team, however, at EURO 2012 championship it leaves me with a good impression of a disciplined and well-organized (applause to coach P. Bento) team. Therefore, I hope that Portugal's path to the title will continue.