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Yesterday was, if I'm not mistaken, only the second championship where I absolutely missed trying to predict the course of the match, so it's no wonder that all the forecasted events went smoothly down the drain. However, I have no regrets about betting on Portugal. This team performed excellently in the championship and demonstrated really beautiful football, and I didn't see any wasted money. Meanwhile, I have already expressed my humble and insignificant opinion about Spain, so I will briefly add only the phrase spoken yesterday by the commentator of "Rasija Sport" (Россия спорт), to which I unconditionally agree. I won't quote it word for word, but it sounded something like this: "if the football demonstrated by the Spanish team is the standard, then, forgive me, but I am for imperfection."
The second semifinal will see Germany and Italy face off today. A definite treat for every football fan. I really hope we will avoid penalty shootouts, as three such championship matches in a row can seriously harm one's health.
Balance: 597.80 Lt
Germany ball possession (%) over 53.5 (odds 1.85). Bet - 30 Lt
Although Italy's average ball possession exceeds 55% in four matches, let's remember that their last two were against Ireland and England - teams that cannot control the ball with the resources available to them as a matter of principle. Germans in this statistical category only lost in a single match to the Dutch eleven. Today, despite the fact that the coach of the Italian team is tearing his hair out claiming that his footballers will definitely not just sit and defend, I am inclined to predict that possession of the ball will still belong to the Germans.
Italy won't score a goal (odds 2.25). Bet - 30 Lt.
A very slippery bet knowing that Germany has only once kept their goal "dry", while Italy has left the field without a goal on their account only once. Only England managed to keep a clean sheet during the matches, but that was only due to incredible luck. However, he who doesn't take risks, doesn't drink fizzy drinks.
Italy handicap advantage (-2.5) (odds 1.85). Bet - 30 Lt.
Pure statistics and nothing more. The average number of goals scored by Germans in the matches is 9, while Italians - 15 goals. Of course, yesterday I had a great lesson that completely different rules apply in the semi-finals, but since I bet on ball possession by the German team, therefore, naturally, I can expect a greater number of whistles in my favor.
Total substitutions over 5.5 (odds 1.75). Bet - 7.80 Lt.
Well, what's left to spend until the remaining round sum, I will try to bet on an event that I have not tried in this championship yet. I noticed that both C. Prandelli and J. Löw fully utilized the possible number of substitutions in all matches without exception, so I hope that both coaches will not change their habits.
